Case Study: Validating standard deviation as a reliability measure for high frequency buses

Publisher:
Australasian Transport Research Forum Incorporated
Publication Type:
Conference Proceeding
Citation:
Australasian Transport Research Forum, ATRF 2023 Proceedings.
Issue Date:
2023-12-01
Full metadata record
This paper examines empirical data from public bus operations in Sydney, to assess if the mean end to end runtime, and its standard deviation, are useful measurements to monitor the reliability and efficiency of the services delivered. This paper shows that the mean plus two standard deviations for end-to-end runtimes was an effective estimator of the 97th percentile of runtimes for the route studied during both headway-based and timetable-based operations. An extension of Hounsell (2022) "An examination of an approach to assist transit in maintaining political legitimacy by achieving reliability for passengers and efficiency for the public", ATRF 2022; and Hounsell (2022) "Case Study: Standard deviation as a reliability measure for public transport managed by headways", ATRF 2022
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